Why forecasters can't predict Hurricane Rafael's path

A Category 3 hurricane made landfall in Cuba on Wednesday as the 17th named storm of the season - but its path has stumped forecasters. While Rafael is anticipated to stay in the Gulf and track westward for at least the next few days, meteorologists have varying data suggesting its direction beyond that. A significant shift in the storm's forecast track is decreasing the threat to the US and increasing chances it will head toward Mexico's Gulf Coast - but a likely path is still unclear.
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Why forecasters can't predict Hurricane Rafael's path