Tua Tagovailoa's future with Dolphins complicated by three factors

Tua Tagovailoa's future with Dolphins complicated by three factors

Tanked for Tua?

It's fair to say theMiami Dolphinshave a majorTua Tagovailoaproblem. A few actually. To anyone who covers or follows theNFLclosely, they've been apparent for some time. But the issues moved to the forefront Wednesday morning when the 2020 first-rounder, who's in the first season of a weighty contract extension, was reportedlybenched for rookie Quinn Ewers. Miami hosts theCincinnati Bengalson Sunday afternoon, a game once-ticketed for "Sunday Night Football"flexed by the leagueearlier this month.

At first blush, it makes some sense. The Fins wereofficially eliminated from playoff contentionwith Monday night'sdecisive loss at Pittsburgh, a game in which Tagovailoa struggled – especially without the benefit of the dominant ground attack the team had ridden on its four-game winning streak entering Week 15. His play "was not good enough," head coach Mike McDaniel admitted Tuesday.

<p style=Week 1: Detroit Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa (18) makes a catch for a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field. The play was originally ruled an incomplete pass, but the call was overturned. Despite TeSlaa's effort, the Packers won the game 27-13.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 1: The New England Patriots' Robert Spillane (14) and Christian Elliss (53) tackle Las Vegas Raiders tight end Michael Mayer (87) during the second half at Gillette Stadium. The Raiders won the game, 20-13. Week 1: New York Giants quarterback Russell Wilson (3) fumbles the ball on a tackle by Washington Commanders safety Will Harris (3) during the first quarter at Northwest Stadium. It was a rough Giants debut for Wilson (17 of 37 passing for 168 yards) as the Commanders won the game, 21-6. Week 1: Fireworks go off before the NFL Kickoff Game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field. The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles opened the season with a 24-20 victory over their longtime NFC East rivals.

Best images of the 2025 NFL season

Week 1: Detroit Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa (18)makes a catch for a touchdownagainst the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field. The play was originally ruled an incomplete pass, but the call was overturned. Despite TeSlaa's effort, the Packers won the game 27-13.

With three meaningless games left on the docket, why not get a look at Ewers, once a highly regarded prospect who fell to the seventh round of the 2025 draft – likely based on his limited physical attributes and an injury-plagued 2024 season at the University of Texas. Miami also has Zach Wilson, the No. 2 overall pick of the 2021 draft (by the New York Jets) on the roster, though he's likely headed back to the free agent pool after the season.

"I think that the biggest thing is that you have a standard of performance," said McDaniel. "There are oftentimes that heavy is the crown; there's misplaced blame and it's not always one person's fault.

"(B)ut realistically I just want to give with some credence behind it, the team deserves to have the best chance to win the football game. That means taking care of the football, being able to make plays, move the chains and get the ball to the open guy. … There's multiple things that have to be thought through, but ultimately we need to have better play at that position."

Which brings us back to Tua, who was selected fifth overall in 2020 after a storied career at the University of Alabama, and the inherent difficulties of finding him another pool to swim in if he's taken his final snap with the team.

Here are three issues theDolphinsmust wrangle with as they determine Tagovailoa's future:

Week 6: Washington Commanders wide receiver Chris Moore (19) celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown during the Week 6: Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier (25) carries the ball for a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons played the game while sporting throwback uniforms that harken back to the team's inaugural season of 1966. Week 6: Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen operates at the line of scrimmage before a play against the Atlanta Falcons during a Week 6: Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young looks for a receiver against the Dallas Cowboys at Bank of America Stadium. The Panthers wore this uniform combination for the first time in the 30-27 win. <p style=Week 5: Buffalo Bills wide receiver Curtis Samuel makes a catch against the New England Patriots at Highmark Stadium. The Bills wore their new "Rivalries" uniform for the "Sunday Night Football" game, which the Patriots won, 23-20.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 5: Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray makes a throw during the third quarter against the Tennessee Titans at State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals wore their all-black uniforms, but were defeated 22-21. <p style=Week 5: Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield awaits the snap against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Both teams wore throwback uniforms in the Buccaneers' 38-35 win. The Buccaneers and Seahawks entered the NFL together as expansion teams in 1976.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 5: Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tory Horton (15) is congratulated by teammate AJ Barner (88) after catching a touchdown pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Lumen Field. The Seahawks wore throwback uniforms harkening back to the team's original look from 1976-2001. Week 5: Los Angeles Chargers running back Omarion Hampton (8) runs against the Washington Commanders during the first quarter at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers wore monochrome powder blue uniform pants and jerseys for the first time. Week 5: New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (5) is tackled by the Dallas Cowboys' Trevon Diggs (7) and Juanyeh Thomas (2) during the first half at MetLife Stadium. The Cowboys wore their Week 5: New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields stands in the pocket against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half at MetLife Stadium. The Jets wore their all-black uniforms in the 37-22 loss. <p style=Week 4: Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) hands the ball off to running back J.K. Dobbins during the "Monday Night Football" game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos wore their "Midnight Navy" uniforms for the 28-3 win.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> <p style=Week 4: Miami Dolphins running back De'von Achane rushes the ball against the New York Jets during a 27-21 win on "Monday Night Football" at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins wore their new their Nike "Rivalries" uniforms – the team version dubbed "Dark Waters."

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> <p style=Week 4: The Arizona Cardinals defense tackles Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tory Horton (15) during the first quarter of a "Thursday Night Football" game at State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals became the first NFL team to wear the new Nike "Rivalries" uniform in a game. The Seahawks won the game, 23-20.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 3: Baltimore Ravens tight end Charlie Kolar (88) makes a catch during his team's <p style=Week 3: New Orleans Saints running back Kendre Miller (5) stiff arms Seattle Seahawks linebacker Tyrice Knight (48) during the second quarter at Lumen Field. The Saints wore their all-white uniform and helmet combo for the first time in the 44-13 loss.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> <p style=Week 3: San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey carries the ball against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at Levi's Stadium. The 49ers wore throwback jerseys - an homage to the team's 1950s look, as well as its 1994 Super Bowl-winning season - in the 16-15 win against the Cardinals.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 3: New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry (85) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Gillette Stadium. New England brought out its iconic Week 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White (1) runs with the ball as New York Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner attempts to make the tackle during the second quarter at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers wore their famous Week 3: Cleveland Browns running back Quinshon Judkins celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Huntington Bank Field. The Browns debuted their Week 3: Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Jourdan Lewis (2) celebrates after making an interception in the fourth quarter against the Houston Texans at EverBank Stadium. The Jaguars wore their Week 3: Carolina Panthers tight end JaTavion Saunders runs with the ball against the Atlanta Falcons at Bank of America Stadium. The Panthers wore their special black helmets in the 30-0 win. <p style=Week 2: Minnesota Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) runs the ball against the Atlanta Falcons at U.S. Bank Stadium. Sporting "The Vikings Classic" throwback uniform inspired by the team's look during the 1960s and '70s, Minnesota was defeated, 22-6.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 2: The Green Bay Packers' Micah Parsons (1) reacts during a Week 1: New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara scores a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals at Caesars Superdome. The Saints wore their reimagined

Can't-miss alternate and throwback uniforms of the 2025 NFL season

Tua has played poorly in 2025

At his very best, Tagovailoa is an accurate, decisive quarterback – traits that have generally made him a snug fit in McDaniel's offense. His completion rate has exceeded 67% each of the past three seasons, including a league-best 72.9% in 2024. His passer rating surpassed 100.0 in McDaniel's first three seasons, beginning in 2022. Passer and scheme dovetailed nicely, McDaniel drawing up plays that so often had Tagovailoa firing the ball to Miami's playmakers as soon as he hit the end of his drop.

But such offensive harmony has been hard to come by in 2025. The absence ofinjured WR Tyreek Hill has certainly been a contributing factor. And Tagovailoa's weaknesses – unremarkable arm strength, vertically challenged, lack of mobility – have been exacerbated, especially so in light of some of his seemingly inexplicable reads and decisions, like Monday night's league-leading 15th interception, the four sacks he absorbed, and Miami's inability to covert six of its eight third-down opportunities. Tagovailoa wound up with 253 yards and two TDs through the air, but they were largely cosmetic stats in a game the Steelers led 28-3 in the fourth quarter.

What's more noteworthy is that he didn't throw more than 23 passes or for as many as 175 yards in any of the four games the Dolphins, who are now 6-8, won in succession prior to Monday night. Tagovailoa's 88.5 QB rating in 2025 is his lowest since he was a rookie.

Tua's contract is already a burden

It was just last year that Tagovailoa signed a four-year, $212.4 million contract extension ($167.2 million of it guaranteed). Compensated at $53.1 million annually on average, Tagovailoa ranks sixth on the league's QB compensation scale … but he's nowhere near No. 6 from a performance perspective.

Dec 15, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers defensive end Esezi Otomewo (93) in the fourth quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Barry Reeger-Imagn Images

Could the Dolphins trade him? Sure. All they'll need to do is find a partner willing to take on a massive financial package for a player with so many on-field drawbacks – and such a move would still leave Miami with more than $45 million in dead money next year. Any potential swap is further complicated byTagovailoa's troublesome concussion history, though – fortunately – he was on track to make 17 starts for just the second time in his career prior to the decision to sit him. (So if it's reality you value, no, he's not tradeable.)

Could the Dolphins cut him? Sure. That will only trigger close to $100 million in dead money whether it's eaten entirely in 2026 – the requisite $99.2 million hit would establish a new record among cap financial mistakes – or spread over two years. There is a $15 million option due next March that the Fins could trigger to mildly assuage the financial fallout for Tagovailoa, whose contract has $54 million guaranteed in 2026. Regardless, a release next year would bring a bitter financial pill and also make it virtually impossible for a team that'salreadyoverspent in 2026 (by nearly $12 million, per Over The Cap) to remediate the roster with a better quarterback option or add assets anywhere else. (So if it's reality you value, he's very close to un-cuttable, at least not until 2027, when the cap hit drops to $34.8 million. Except …)

Should Tua be part of a Dolphins team already in transition?

Miami hasn't won a playoff game with Tagovailoa or McDaniel … or anyone else in the past 25 years, the longest active drought in the NFL. Owner Stephen Ross andlongtime GM Chris Grier dissolved their relationshipon Halloween, and McDaniel's job security has been a subject of speculation since last season's uninspired 8-9 finish.

Aside from the warmth, beaches and nightlife of South Beach, Ross doesn't have a whole to sell prospective future personnel bosses in the short term other than this job being one of 32. Tagovailoa is clearly problematic, even if McDaniel – he championed Tua at the outset of his 2022 arrival in the aftermath of the quarterback's rocky relationship with previous coach Brian Flores – sticks around … and he no longer seems nearly as committed to the relationship. Tagovailoa's willingness topublicly air the team's dirty laundry at various times this yearalso wasn't particularly helpful, though this locker room has had accountability issues for years.

The team's cap situation will likely necessitate the release of Hill,recently one of the league's most dominant players but now a guy with his own baggageas he tries to come back from a grisly knee injury that ended his 2025 campaign in September.

If McDaniel, whom Ross seems to favor − and the coach did briefly resurrect a team that could have quit weeks ago − stays, then maybe so does Tagovailoa. For 2026. He's already been paid, and the path of least resistance would be giving him one more shot to flourish – even if he ends up serving as a bridge from the job that once seemed like it would be his for a decade-plus. And, don't forget, Denver Broncos coach Sean Payton gave it a (basically unavoidable) go with Russell Wilson in 2023, getting a lay of the Rocky Mountain football landscape but eventuallyopted to take a (still) record $85 million dead cap hitin 2024 topivot from Wilson to Bo Nix. That course of action has worked out beautifully for a squad that'sreached the playoffs two years running– even as it continues to work off its Wilson cap debt. But it required a made man with Payton's organizational juice to execute it.Feels like history could repeat itself in South Florida, as it seems the Dolphins have entered the "when, not if" window for what seems like the inevitable divorce from the fallen face of their franchise.

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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Tua Tagovailoa's Dolphins future after benching muddled by 3 issues

 

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